Abstract of the 201st meeting of CCEP

 The 201st meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction(CCEP) was held at the Kanto Regional Survey Department of the GSI on Nov. 22, 2013. First, it has been reported for the future consideration working group of the CCEP. Then, observation data and research results about seismic activities and crustal deformations in Japan were reported and discussed. Discussions were made under the intensive discussion subject " Researches on earthquake forecast based on physical models ". Finally, purport of next intensive discussion subject "Real-time monitoring and forecast of earthquakes and tsunamis. " was explained.

• Report of the future consideration working group.

     fig. 1-9


• Deliberation about crusutal activity monitoring.

1.General crusutal activities.
（1）Seismic activities of Japan.
     fig. 10 (JMA)
（2）Activity of shallow very-low-frequency earthquakes around Japan.
     fig. 11 (NIED)
（3）Strain changes in the Japanese Islands.
     fig. 12 (GSI)

2.The 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake.
     fig. 14-15(GSI)
     fig. 16 (JCG)
     fig. 17 (GSI)
     fig. 18 (GSI)

3.The coupling state and change on the plate boundary.
（1）Around Nankai trough and Nansei islands trench.
     fig. 19 (NIED)

4.Other crusutal activities.
     fig. 13 (JMA)


• Researches on earthquake forecast based on physical models.

     fig. 20 (Hashimoto(associate professor), Nagoya univ.)
     fig. 21 (Hori(sub leader),JAMSTEC)
     fig. 22 (Hino(professor),Tohoku univ.)

• Purport of next intensive discussion subject "Real-time monitoring and forecast of earthquakes and tsunamis. "

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