Fourth Joint Meeting of
UJNR Panel on Earthquake Research

Morioka, November 6-8, 2002




Panel members and Participants

Wednesday, November 6, 2002
Venue: Hotel Metropolitan Morioka NEW WING, MetroHall-South / 4F

9:00 Opening Ceremony

Welcome address by Yoshihisa Hoshino
Address by William Ellsworth

Business Session

Keisuke Isogai
"The Current Activities of the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion Concerning Tonankai/Nankai Earthquakes"
Hiroaki Miyatake
"Abstract of "Tohnankai and Nankai Earthquakes Countermeasures Special Act""
James Whitcomb
"earth scope"
Willaim Ellsworth
"Preliminary report on the Great Alaskan Earthquake of November 3, 2002"

Election of drafting committee for the resolution
Group Photos

10:05 Break

10:20-12:00 Technical Session 1: The New Wave of Earthquake Research 1

Session Chairman: Kojiro Irikura

10:20 Masakazu Ohtake
10:40 Tom Jordan / Kim Olsen read
"The Southern California Earthquake Center Information Technology Research Initiative"
11:00 Kunihiko Shimazaki
"Long-term earthquake forecasts in Japan from 1996 to 2002"
11:20 Andrea Donnellan
"NASA Perspective on Earthquake Research"
11:40 Eikichi Tsukuda
"Recent progresses on Active Fault Researches in Japan - Contribution of Geological Survey of Japan"

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-14:20 Technical Session 2: The New Wave of Earthquake Research 2

Session Chairman: Kim Olsen

13:00 Mark Petersen
"Challenges in Hazard Estimation: Examples from the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Map"
13:20 Kojiro Irikura
"Recipe for Predicting Strong Ground Motion from Inland and Subduction-Zone Earthquakes"
13:40 Kenji Maeda
"Preliminary Version of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Map of Japan (Specific Area)"
14:00 Robert Wesson
"Some New Directions in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis"

14:20-14:50 Coffee break

14:50- 15:50 Technical Session 3: Space technologies

Session Chairman: Makoto Murakami

14:50 Kenneth Hudnut
15:10 Fred Pollitz
"Inference of regional viscosity structure from space-based geodetic data"
15:30 Mark Simons
"Geodesy (InSAR, GPS, Gravity) and Big Earthquakes"

15:50-16:30 Technical Session 4: Real-time Seismic Information System

Session Chairman: Andrea Donnellan

15:50 Yukio Fujinawa
"Real-time Seismic Information System of NIED"
16:10 Osamu Kamigaichi
"JMA Nowcast Earthquake Information"

16:30-16:45 Break

16:45-17:45 Technical Session 5: Strong ground motion

Session Chairman: Kunihiko Shimazaki

16:45 Haruo Horikawa
"Strong motion simulation for Osaka plain based on active fault surveys"
17:05 Toshiaki Yokoi
"On the Seismic Wave Propagation Simulation using Boundary Element Method"
17:25 Yuji Takahashi
"Seismic Risk Management of a Structure Fully Utilizing Recent Seismological Knowledge"

Thursday, November 7, 2002
Venue: Hotel Metropolitan Morioka NEW WING, MetroHall-South / 4F

8:30-10:50 Technical Session 6: Plate subdunction

Session Chairman: Wayne Thatcher

8:30 Toru Matsuzawa
"Spatio-temporal variation in slip rate on the plate boundary off Sanriku, northeastern Japan, estimated from small repeating earthquakes"
8:50 Shinzaburo Ozawa
"Ongoing Aseismic Slip in the Tokai region, Central Japan"
9:10 Kazushige Obara
"Nonvolcanic deep tremor associated with subduction in Southwest Japan"
Brian Atwater
"17th-century uplift in northeast Hokkaido"
9:50 Hidekuni Kuroki
"A 3-D simulation of crustal deformation accompanied by subduction in the Tokai region, central Japan"
10:10 Masayuki Fujita
"Toward Detecting Crustal Movement in the Undersea Plate Boundary Region around Japan"
10:30 Jin-oh Park
"Splay Fault Branching From the Nankai Subduction Megathrust"

10:50-11:10 Break

11:10-12:30 Technical Session 7: Preparatory process for seismogenesis

Session Chairman: Tadahiko Katsura

11:10 Hisao Ito
"Results of the 1st stage of the comprehensive joint research on the modeling of slip process of earthquake source fault and plastic flow near the seismogenic region"
11:30 Takeshi Sagiya
"Integrated understanding of crustal deformation around the Itoigawa-Shizuoka Tectonic Line, central Japan, and its implications for regional tectonics and seismic hazard"
11:50 Wayne Thatcher
"Rheological Stratification of the Active Continental Lithosphere: Constraints from Space Geodesy"
12:10 Norio Matsumoto
"Hydrological and geochemical research for earthquake prediction by Geological Survey of Japan, AIST"

12:30-13:30 Lunch

13:30-14:50 Technical Session 8: Earthquake Process and Mechanism 1

Session Chairman: Robert Wesson

13:30 Steve Hickman / William Ellsworth read
"The San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth: Recent Site Characterization Studies and the 2.2-Km-Deep Pilot Hole"
13:50 Takashi Satoh
"Experimental studies on the preparation and nucleation process of earthquakes by Geological Survey of Japan"
14:10 William Ellsworth
"Double-Difference Earthquake Locations and Their Implications for Hazards and Earthquake Physics"
14:30 Hisao Ito
"Source process and scaling of small earthquakes"

14:50-15:20 Coffee break

15:20-17:00 Technical Session 9: Earthquake Process and Mechanism 2

Session Chairman: Masakazu Ohtake

15:20 Sadaki Hori
"Difference in earthquake mechanisms between first motion solutions and moment tensor solutions"
15:40 David Bowman
"The Evolution of Regional Seismicity Between Large Earthquakes"
16:00 Kim Olsen
"Estimation of Dynamic Rupture Parameters"
16:20 Makoto Murakami
"An Experiment of Earthquake Generation Process Prepared by the Nature - A Study of Seismicity Associated with by Volcanic Stress Changes in and around the Izu-Oshima Island -"
16:40 Jeanne Hardebeck
"Earthquakes and Stress in the Earth's Crust: Studying crustal stress can help constrain the physics of faulting."

17:00-17:10 Break

17:10-17:30 Closing Ceremony


18:00-20:00 Reception (Hosted by Director General of GSI)

Venue: Hotel Metropolitan Morioka NEW WING, Room Galaxy / 11F

Friday, November 8, 2002

Field Trip

8:00 Hotel Metropolitan Morioka NEW WING
8:50 Yakehashiri Lava Flow at Mt. Iwate
11:00 Lunch at Hiraizumi-Resthouse
14:00 Nagamachi-Rifu Fault at Sendai area
15:00 Crustal deformation observatory GPS station
15:30 Research Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions, Tohoku University
17:30 Break-up at Sendai Station

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Secretariat of Japan Side:
Geography & Crustal Dynamics Research Center
Geographical Survey Institute

1 Kitago, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-0811, JAPAN
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