Abstract of the 204th meeting of CCEP

 The 204th meeting of the Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction(CCEP) was held at the Kanto Regional Survey Department of the GSI on Aug 22, 2014. 　First of all, the report of the emphasis examination problem Administration Department association was done. Next, the observation data, research results concerning the seismic activity, and the transformation of the hull in Japan were reported, and discussed. Discussions were made under the intensive discussion subject."Evaluation of predictability of earthquakes and crustal deformation". Finally, purport of next intensive discussion subject "Earthquake occurrence forecast research based on physics model　Part 2" was explained.

• Deliberation about crusutal activity monitoring.

1.Emphasis examination problem Administration Department bulletin notification. fig. 1

2.General crusutal activities.
（1）Seismic activities of Japan.
     fig. 2 (JMA)
（2）Activity of shallow very-low-frequency earthquakes around Japan.
     fig. 3 (NIED)
（3）Strain changes in the Japanese Islands.
     fig. 4 (GSI)

2.2 Earthquake in the Middle East the [iburi] provinces parts.
     fig. 5 (JMA)
     fig. 6 (GSI)

2.3 The 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake.
     fig. 7-8 (GSI)
     fig. 9 (JCG)

2.4 Earthquake of Fukushima Prefecture offing.
（1）Around Nankai trough and Nansei islands trench.
     fig. 10 (JMA)

5.The coupling state and change on the plate boundary.
（1）Around Nankai trough and Nansei islands trench.
     fig. 11 (NIED)



• Evaluation of predictability of earthquakes and crustal deformation.

     fig. 12 (Tobita(Crustal Dynamics), GSI)
     fig. 13 (Echigo(Researcher), GRI)
     fig. 14 (Kimura(Researcher), NIED)
     fig. 15 (Okada(Researcher), MRI)
     fig. 16 (Yoshikawa(Researcher), MRI)
     fig. 17 (Ogata(honorary professor), ISM)

• Purport of next intensive discussion subject "Earthquake occurrence forecast research based on physics model　Part 2".

     next

---